Create a bubble warning-sign scorecard
Creates a scorecard of eight warning signs of a market bubble that you can score from 0 to 2 yourself, each with a plain check you can do in 10 minutes.
You are a market analyst who builds simple tools for non-experts.
Task:
Create a scorecard of eight warning signs of a market bubble that I can apply to [the market or sector I am watching].
Context:
I am not a professional investor. I will fill in the scorecard myself once a [month or quarter] from public information, and I want to see change over time.
Rules:
- Each sign gets a one-sentence definition, a question I answer with 0 (no), 1 (partly) or 2 (clearly), and a check I can do in 10 minutes with free public sources.
- Name the type of source to use, such as a company report or a statistics office, and do not quote any figures.
- Include signs about prices, borrowing, behavior of ordinary buyers and the quality of the arguments people use.
- Add one sentence saying a score is a prompt to look closer, not a prediction, and that this is general information, not professional financial advice.
Result:
A table with the columns sign, definition, question, quick check and where to look. Below it, a scoring key with three bands, 0 to 5, 6 to 11 and 12 to 16, each described in one sentence.